Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 754.255975 852.875623 964.183164 1100.064831 1262.761579 1452.957345 1694.572004
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 630.228321 761.853650 924.742278 1145.002036 1441.260991 1835.444255 2416.747321
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 560.900847 705.193671 893.895613 1165.890170 1560.626036 2134.739808 3079.119748
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 505.939589 656.100010 861.343416 1173.144916 1655.854036 2415.393109 3798.301681
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 457.754270 608.083955 820.822299 1157.971793 1708.567140 2635.226945 4482.897287
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 429.359580 583.658186 809.466335 1182.564419 1825.659504 2986.656419 5542.590274
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 410.390895 570.185622 811.667909 1227.228865 1983.240637 3450.671681 7047.327152
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 389.336341 550.993042 802.061117 1249.628272 2103.815781 3875.573331 8690.372594
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 366.010333 525.852630 779.763451 1245.964630 2172.879852 4210.953196 10301.270477
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 350.683282 511.799143 773.850254 1270.338821 2302.224939 4723.419538 12807.531057
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 325.750437 480.126965 734.998044 1227.689593 2281.682560 4864.338782 14180.708602
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 304.796588 453.448569 702.372090 1192.915361 2272.103638 5032.299133 15809.930694
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 283.250747 424.942514 665.269099 1147.249285 2235.336964 5132.688503 17353.462571
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 276.640384 421.213840 672.066535 1191.250704 2419.897319 5947.972826 23277.588441
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 267.696964 412.669118 669.069823 1214.177954 2558.159420 6688.076099 30173.514847
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 257.522296 401.195496 659.501789 1221.610747 2658.613152 7355.083575 38143.155839
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 245.420001 385.468911 640.483527 1205.652347 2692.660519 7802.877803 45689.726792
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 239.067377 379.624678 640.000244 1231.596665 2851.433572 8830.620637 62317.988854
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 235.343995 378.268540 648.142342 1278.769806 3086.397114 10351.181585 93482.076933
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 229.396007 372.364564 646.582833 1302.436646 3256.508320 11716.833916 134791.699998
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 221.224453 361.768402 634.536550 1298.565243 3337.001887 12701.431730 180923.062698
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 216.274112 356.980268 634.163484 1324.327129 3526.537111 14476.209126 284137.692989
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 205.512823 340.436293 607.763526 1279.255809 3454.796594 14623.206146 331201.680495